The coin toss plays a significant role in each football game. A successful coin toss can help establish the mood early on or, if the winner decides to start the second half with the ball, it can assist the second half get off to a strong start. Similar to how a successful Super Bowl coin toss wager might lay the groundwork for a successful evening of wagering on the big event.
The goal isn’t-or at least shouldn’t be-to roll in the dough when it comes to betting on topics like the Super Bowl national anthem, Super Bowl Gatorade color, and Super Bowl coin toss.
Having stated that, whether our wagers are big or small, important or unimportant, we all want to succeed.
Are there any lessons to be learned from the past coin tosses that could help us make our Super Bowl coin toss prediction less of a… coin toss? (I’ll get out of here.)
Odds for the coin toss in Super Bowl 57
There are coin toss odds for the Super Bowl LVII game between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Kansas City Chiefs, which is just a few days away.
Do we advise basing your big game predictions on the outcome of the coin toss? No, however there is plenty of intriguing data to record.
Here are the Super Bowl coin toss odds for this year, courtesy of FanDuel.
Who calls the Super Bowl coin toss?
Even though knowing which side will call the Super Bowl coin toss won’t necessarily affect your predictions, it’s still useful to know.
Even though the game was played at their home stadium, the Rams were the designated away team last year and were given the opportunity to make the toss on Super Bowl Sunday.
The NFL swaps “home” and “away” designations between conferences each year, which is why that happened.
The AFC champion Chiefs will call the coin toss at this year’s Super Bowl because the NFC champions were the away team last year.
Who Won the Coin Toss for the 2022 Super Bowl?
The Los Angeles Rams called tails in Super Bowl 56 in February of last year, but the coin came up heads. The Cincinnati Bengals won the Super Bowl coin toss as a result of heads winning.
However, the Rams claimed a stunning 23-20 victory at their home stadium with Matthew Stafford’s late touchdown pass to Super Bowl MVP Cooper Kupp, so winning the toss didn’t help the Bengals win the game.
Heads won the most recent Super Bowl coin toss.
Seattle Seahawks are the most recent toss winner to win the Super Bowl (Super Bowl XLVIII, 2014)
Most Continuous: Heads (five; Super Bowls XLIII (2009), XLVII (2013), and XLVII (2014))
Most consecutive tails: four (three times – Super Bowl XXXII in 1998 to Super Bowl XXXV in 2001, Super Bowl XXXVII in 2003 to Super Bowl XL in 2006, and Super Bowl XLVIII in 2014 to Super Bowl LI in 2017)
History and patterns of the Super Bowl coin toss
One side is unlikely to hold a significant advantage over the long term when there are only two possible outcomes and only two sides to a coin. This is the situation, with a score of 29-27 in favor of tails before the forthcoming Super Bowl game.
In 56 Super Bowls, tails has prevailed 29 times, or 51.8% of the time, while heads has done so 48.2% of the time.
Until heads won the toss twice in a row, tails had won six of the previous seven tosses.
Coin toss losers are favored in recent Super Bowl results
The Super Bowl coin toss has historically favored the loser significantly, both historically and recently. In fact, each of the last eight Super Bowls has been won by the loser of the coin toss.
The Seattle Seahawks, who thrashed the Denver Broncos 43-8 in Super Bowl XLVIII nine years ago, are the last team to win the coin toss and the game.
In 56 Super Bowls, the winner of the coin toss has only won the trophy 24 times (42.9%).
If you want to bet on the Super Bowl spread after the toss or possibly hedge with live betting based on the winner or loser of the coin toss, the coin toss winner has only covered 25 times (44.6%).
The Seahawks, who dominated the Broncos in Super Bowl XLVIII despite being a two-point underdog, were the last coin toss winner to win and cover.